San Marino's Chance to Qualify for World Cup by Losing Match
- Despite being FIFA's worst-ranked team, San Marino could qualify for the 2026 World Cup if they strategically lose their final match. A complex chain of events needs to occur for this unlikely scenario to unfold.
San Marino's Path to World Cup Qualification
San Marino, ranked last among FIFA teams, may qualify for the 2026 World Cup by losing their final match. The odds seem slim, but a series of intricate events could pave the way for this unexpected turn of events.
The Unlikely Scenario
San Marino, currently at the bottom of the rankings, won its Nations League group in 2024-25. To secure a playoff spot, they rely on 10 higher-ranked teams not needing the bid.
The Complex Chain of Events
With only two teams needing to finish second in their groups, San Marino's hopes hinge on Northern Ireland and Romania's performances. If both teams secure second place, San Marino could advance by losing their last match.
Sportsbooks' Dilemma
If this scenario unfolds, sportsbooks face a unique challenge in setting odds. Given San Marino's underdog status, bookmakers may have to adjust their lines accordingly to reflect the situation.
In the world of soccer betting, San Marino's matches typically do not attract significant attention. However, the prospect of an underdog story may generate interest among bettors.
While FIFA prohibits teams from intentionally losing matches, the exceptional circumstances surrounding San Marino's potential qualification raise ethical questions. Should they deliberately lose to advance, proving any wrongdoing would be challenging, especially considering their previous heavy defeats.

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