Illegal Refugee Influx to Europe Decreases by One-Third

brussels - Illegal migrant flow to Europe drops over 30% in 2025 due to stricter border controls and migration policies. Frontex reports significant decrease. Political and Frontex statements analyzed.

Decrease in Illegal Refugee Influx

The number of illegal refugees entering Europe has decreased by more than 30% in early 2025 compared to the previous year, attributed to stricter border controls and migration policies.

Frontex Reports

• In the first quarter of 2025, illegal border crossings decreased by 30%, amounting to nearly 34,000 less compared to the previous year.
• Frontex spokesperson Chris Borowski noted a continued decline from the previous year.

Migration Routes

• Western Balkan route saw a 64% decline, while the busiest route through Greece, Cyprus, and Bulgaria decreased by 29%.

Decrease in Migrant Deaths

Despite continued risky crossings, the number of migrant fatalities decreased to 385 in Q1 2025 from 2300 in the same period of 2024.

EU Response and Political Developments

EU's response to the decrease remains muted. Political factors within the EU, including stricter policies and closed internal Schengen borders, are believed to contribute to the decline.

Threats and Investigations

The EU considers tougher measures, including faster deportations and harsher penalties. Frontex is investigating numerous cases of potential human rights violations at the Greek borders.

Concerns in Greece

Despite a reduction in boat migrants by 29%, Greece still faces challenges. EU threatens to cut funding over alleged illegal pushbacks, breaching international law.

Frontex is investigating twelve cases of possible human rights violations at the Greek borders, the highest number of investigations per country in the EU.