Decoding MLS Success: Predicting Aging Europe-to-MLS Moves

- Analyzing the success of aging European stars in MLS like Messi and Son, based on market value, performance metrics, and playing time ratios.

Predicting Success in Aging Europe-to-MLS Moves

MLS teams weigh various factors when signing aging European stars. Recent moves like Son Heung-Min to LAFC raise questions on success rates. Here's a breakdown of the key considerations:

Key Metrics for Success

Market value, previous performance metrics, and playing time ratios play a vital role in predicting success. The analysis of 20 high-profile players who made the move to MLS in their 30s reveals interesting insights.

Lessons from Past Moves

Examining past moves of players like David Beckham and Zlatan Ibrahimovic sheds light on what makes these transitions successful. Factors like age, performance, and market value influence the outcome.

Success Rates and Player Profiles

Approximately half of these aging European star moves to MLS have been successful. Players with higher market values, better performance metrics, and more playing time tend to fare better in the league.

Recent Signings and Market Values

Players like Son Heung-Min and Rodrigo De Paul, with higher market values and significant playing time, are more likely to succeed in MLS. In contrast, players with lower market values like Thomas Müller face challenges.

Deciphering Success Factors

Experience, market value, and playing time in previous seasons are crucial in determining the success of aging European stars in MLS. Understanding these factors can help assess the likelihood of a successful transition.